Match context

The upcoming match between Beijing Guoan and Yunnan Yukun is scheduled for 22.08.2026 12:00 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Beijing Guoan are in position 2 with 35 points after 21 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD. Yunnan Yukun are in position 3 with 34 points after 21 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 42 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWD.

Recent results

Beijing Guoan recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWDWDWWW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Yunnan Yukun recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWDDLWLW. The averages are 2.60 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Yunnan Yukun recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.68; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Beijing Guoan to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.26%, 19.71% and 17.02%. The model momentum difference is 46.24 points in favour of Beijing Guoan. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.37%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 86/100, 85.68% group success rate across 426 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Beijing Guoan at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.33 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 1.42 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 41.7%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 8.3%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Yunnan Yukun away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.30 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.30 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 80.0%, 50.0%, 10.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 23 completed matches (95.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Beijing Guoan and Yunnan Yukun ended 3-3. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 12 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.68 total corners. The match recorded 12 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Beijing Guoan at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.33 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 1.42 total cards per match. In this game, Beijing Guoan received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.42 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 8.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Yunnan Yukun away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.3 total cards per match. In this game, Yunnan Yukun received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.3 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.