Match context

The upcoming match between SHANGHAI SIPG and Qingdao Jonoon is scheduled for 23.08.2026 11:35 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
SHANGHAI SIPG are in position 9 with 25 points after 20 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWD. Qingdao Jonoon are in position 16 with 14 points after 21 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

SHANGHAI SIPG recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWLWDDLWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Qingdao Jonoon recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLLDWD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, SHANGHAI SIPG recorded 6 wins, there were 0 draws, and Qingdao Jonoon recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4.83 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as SHANGHAI SIPG to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 71.49%, 16.90% and 11.62%. The model momentum difference is 59.87 points in favour of SHANGHAI SIPG. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.30 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.07%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 23, score 80/100, 80.10% group success rate across 628 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for SHANGHAI SIPG at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.64 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 1.73 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 54.5%, 36.4%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Qingdao Jonoon away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.92 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.08 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 75.0%, 50.0%, 41.7%, 25.0% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between SHANGHAI SIPG and Qingdao Jonoon ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.83 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for SHANGHAI SIPG at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.64 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 1.73 total cards per match. In this game, SHANGHAI SIPG received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.73 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 36.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 9.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Qingdao Jonoon away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.92 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.08 total cards per match. In this game, Qingdao Jonoon received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.92 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 41.7% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 23. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.