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D L D D W
1
🏟 Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium , Zhengzhou
✔ Full Time
1
Ball possession
68%
32%
12
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
2
3
Shots off target
1
5
Corner kicks
3
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
3
Offsides
1
9
Shots inside the box
4
3
Shots outside the box
4
4
Blocked shots
5
1
Goalkeeper saves
3
12
Fouls
15
398
Accurate passes
157
466
Total passes
213
15
Free Kicks
11

🔁 Head-to-Head

1
0
0
🟢 Henan Jianye 🟡 Draws Chongqing Tongliang Long 🔴
Date Match Score
21.05.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Jianye 1 : 2

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Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Henan Jianye and Chongqing Tongliang Long is scheduled for 29.08.2026 12:00 in Super League. The listed venue is Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Henan Jianye are in position 13 with 24 points after 20 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDDW. Chongqing Tongliang Long are in position 8 with 30 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL.

Recent results

Henan Jianye recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDDWDWLLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Chongqing Tongliang Long recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLLWDDLW. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Chongqing Tongliang Long recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.90; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 94%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Henan Jianye or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.19%, 24.83% and 17.97%. The model momentum difference is 39.22 points in favour of Henan Jianye. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.49%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Henan Jianye -0.5 / Chongqing Tongliang Long +0.5 supports Henan Jianye by an average 2.48 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Henan Jianye at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.27 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 1.36 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 36.4%, 9.1%, 9.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Chongqing Tongliang Long away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.67 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 25.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 8.3%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-08-29 11:00:06 · Locked: 2026-08-29 13:40:07

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Henan Jianye and Chongqing Tongliang Long ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 8 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.9 total corners. The match recorded 8 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 94%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Henan Jianye at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.27 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 1.36 total cards per match. In this game, Henan Jianye received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.64 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 9.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 9.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Chongqing Tongliang Long away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.67 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. In this game, Chongqing Tongliang Long received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 8.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Henan Jianye at -0.5. The stored market movement was 2.48 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-29 16:33:11
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