Match context

The upcoming match between Dalian Zhixing and Qingdao Jonoon is scheduled for 05.09.2026 11:35 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Dalian Zhixing are in position 4 with 37 points after 20 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDLW. Qingdao Jonoon are in position 16 with 14 points after 21 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

Dalian Zhixing recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDLWDLDW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Qingdao Jonoon recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLLLLD. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dalian Zhixing recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Qingdao Jonoon recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.20; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 96%; over 9.5 corners — 86%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Dalian Zhixing to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 66.87%, 19.14% and 13.99%. The model momentum difference is 52.87 points in favour of Dalian Zhixing. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.06%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Dalian Zhixing 0 / Qingdao Jonoon 0 supports Dalian Zhixing by an average 1.92 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Dalian Zhixing at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 75.0%, 50.0%, 16.7%, 8.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Qingdao Jonoon away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.15 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 76.9%, 53.8%, 46.2%, 23.1% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 15.4%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Dalian Zhixing and Qingdao Jonoon ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 6 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.33 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.2 total corners. The match recorded 6 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 96%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 86%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Dalian Zhixing at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.5 total cards per match. In this game, Dalian Zhixing received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Qingdao Jonoon away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.15 total cards per match. In this game, Qingdao Jonoon received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.15 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 46.2% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 15.4%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Dalian Zhixing at 0. The stored market movement was 1.92 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.