Match context

The upcoming match between Shandong Luneng and Sichuan Jiuniu is scheduled for 05.09.2026 12:00 in Super League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Shandong Luneng are in position 5 with 36 points after 21 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWW. Sichuan Jiuniu are in position 11 with 27 points after 22 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWLW.

Recent results

Shandong Luneng recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWWWLDLW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLWLDLWL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shandong Luneng recorded 4 wins, there were 0 draws, and Sichuan Jiuniu recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Shandong Luneng or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.06%, 21.42% and 19.52%. The model momentum difference is 39.54 points in favour of Shandong Luneng. The input data quality score is 97/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Shandong Luneng at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 41.7%, 8.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Sichuan Jiuniu away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 41.7%, 8.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Shandong Luneng and Sichuan Jiuniu ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 3 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.6 total corners. The match recorded 3 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Shandong Luneng at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Shandong Luneng received 0 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 41.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sichuan Jiuniu away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Sichuan Jiuniu received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 41.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 25%.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.