Match context

The upcoming match between St George Willawong and Brisbane Strikers is scheduled for 02.08.2026 06:30 in Queensland Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
St George Willawong are in position 10 with 13 points after 19 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 1 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWL. Brisbane Strikers are in position 1 with 48 points after 19 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 46 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW.

Recent results

St George Willawong recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWLLLLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Brisbane Strikers recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWWWWD. The averages are 2.80 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, St George Willawong recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Brisbane Strikers recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.67 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Brisbane Strikers to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 17.94%, 18.89% and 63.17%. The model momentum difference is 45.23 points in favour of Brisbane Strikers. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.29%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between St George Willawong and Brisbane Strikers ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.67 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.