Match context

The upcoming match between FC Gomel and Naftan is scheduled for 15.08.2026 12:10 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC Gomel are in position 7 with 26 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDWD. Naftan are in position 16 with 10 points after 16 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLLW.

Recent results

FC Gomel recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWDWDDWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Naftan recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLLWLLLL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, FC Gomel recorded 6 wins, there were 3 draws, and Naftan recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.25; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FC Gomel to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.60%, 21.63% and 13.77%. The model momentum difference is 50.82 points in favour of FC Gomel. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -6.34%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FC Gomel 0 / Naftan 0 supports Naftan by an average 7.32 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 11.80, score 86/100, 86.14% group success rate across 101 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FC Gomel at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.57 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 71.4%, 57.1%, 28.6%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 15 of 17 completed matches (88.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Naftan away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.14 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 57.1%, 28.6%, 14.3%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 16 completed matches (93.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FC Gomel and Naftan ended 6-0. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Gomel at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.57 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.71 total cards per match. In this game, FC Gomel received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.71 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Naftan away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.14 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.14 total cards per match. In this game, Naftan received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.14 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 14.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Naftan at 0. The stored market movement was 7.32 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 6-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 11.8. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.