Match context

The upcoming match between Naftan and Neman is scheduled for 22.08.2026 14:45 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Naftan are in position 16 with 10 points after 16 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLL. Neman are in position 8 with 24 points after 15 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLL.

Recent results

Naftan recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDDLLWLLL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Neman recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWDLLLWL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Naftan recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Neman recorded 8 wins. The average total was 3.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.94; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Neman to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 12.86%, 22.05% and 65.09%. The model momentum difference is 52.23 points in favour of Neman. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -6.27%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Naftan 0 / Neman 0 supports Neman by an average 25.39 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.23, score 78/100, 77.91% bucket win rate across 86 observations). Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Naftan at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 87.5%, 62.5%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 17 completed matches (94.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Neman away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 0.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 50.0%, 12.5%, 12.5%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Naftan and Neman ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 5 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11.94 total corners. The match recorded 5 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Naftan at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, Naftan received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Neman away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 0.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.75 total cards per match. In this game, Neman received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 0.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 12.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Neman at 0. The stored market movement was 25.39 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.23. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.