Match context

The upcoming match between Dinamo Brest and Bate Borisov is scheduled for 07.09.2026 16:30 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Dinamo Brest are in position 6 with 31 points after 16 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLWW. Bate Borisov are in position 13 with 17 points after 14 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWD.

Recent results

Dinamo Brest recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWWLWWWD. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Bate Borisov recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWDLDDDL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Brest recorded 5 wins, there were 0 draws, and Bate Borisov recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Dinamo Brest or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.53%, 24.32% and 17.15%. The model momentum difference is 41.38 points in favour of Dinamo Brest. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.15 with William Hill. The stored estimated EV is -4.72%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Dinamo Brest -1 / Bate Borisov +1 supports Dinamo Brest by an average 14.34 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.82). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 76/100, 75.95% bucket win rate across 661 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Dinamo Brest at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.10 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.10 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 60.0%, 40.0%, 10.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Bate Borisov away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.56 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 44.4%, 22.2% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 15 of 19 completed matches (78.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Dinamo Brest and Bate Borisov ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Dinamo Brest at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.1 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.1 total cards per match. In this game, Dinamo Brest received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 10% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bate Borisov away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.56 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, Bate Borisov received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Dinamo Brest at -1. The stored market movement was 14.34 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.