Match context

The upcoming match between Naftan and FC Minsk is scheduled for 06.09.2026 10:00 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Naftan are in position 16 with 10 points after 16 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLW. FC Minsk are in position 8 with 28 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWW.

Recent results

Naftan recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWDDLLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC Minsk recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWWWWWLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Naftan recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and FC Minsk recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or FC Minsk (X2) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 17.04%, 25.72% and 57.24%. The model momentum difference is 40.20 points in favour of FC Minsk. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.15 with William Hill. The stored estimated EV is -4.59%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 1.89).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Naftan at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.44 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.44 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 77.8%, 55.6%, 22.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 20 completed matches (95.0% coverage). The discipline profile for FC Minsk away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 0.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 62.5%, 12.5%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 20 completed matches (90.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Naftan and FC Minsk ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Naftan at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.44 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.44 total cards per match. In this game, Naftan received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.44 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 55.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Minsk away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 0.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.75 total cards per match. In this game, FC Minsk received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 2.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 1.89. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.