Match context

The upcoming match between Ituano and Paysandu is scheduled for 22.08.2026 20:00 in Serie C. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ituano are in position 15 with 22 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. Paysandu are in position 4 with 26 points after 15 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLL.

Recent results

Ituano recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLDDDLW. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Paysandu recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWLLWLLW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ituano recorded 2 wins, there were 0 draws, and Paysandu recorded 2 wins. The average total was 4.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.90; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ituano 0 / Paysandu 0 supports Paysandu by an average 1.12 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ituano at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 57.1%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 16 of 17 completed matches (94.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Paysandu away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 3.60 yellow cards, 0.80 red cards and 4.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 80.0%, 80.0% and 40.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 60.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 16 completed matches (87.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Ituano and Paysandu ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.5 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ituano at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. In this game, Ituano received 5 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2.29 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Paysandu away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 3.6 yellow cards, 0.8 red cards and 4.4 total cards per match. In this game, Paysandu received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.4 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 80% of matches, 5+ in 40%, and a red card in 60%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Paysandu at 0. The stored market movement was 1.12 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.