Match context

The upcoming match between Barra and Volta Redonda is scheduled for 29.08.2026 20:00 in Serie C. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Barra are in position 18 with 18 points after 15 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. Volta Redonda are in position 16 with 21 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLD.

Recent results

Barra recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLWLDLL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Volta Redonda recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLDLDLWL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Barra or draw (1X) with 85% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.32%, 27.69% and 15.00%. The model momentum difference is 42.32 points in favour of Barra. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.50%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Barra 0 / Volta Redonda 0 supports Barra by an average 1.96 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Barra at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.40 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 40.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 15 completed matches (86.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Volta Redonda away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.40 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 17 completed matches (76.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Barra and Volta Redonda ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Barra at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.4 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.4 total cards per match. In this game, Barra received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.6 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Volta Redonda away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.4 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Volta Redonda received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Barra at 0. The stored market movement was 1.96 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.