Match context

The upcoming match between Guarani Campinas and Brusque is scheduled for 29.08.2026 20:00 in Serie C. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Guarani Campinas are in position 7 with 27 points after 15 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLWL. Brusque are in position 1 with 31 points after 15 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWL.

Recent results

Guarani Campinas recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWLDDLWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Brusque recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWLWLWLW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guarani Campinas recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Brusque recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 44.4% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Guarani Campinas or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.61%, 24.84% and 15.55%. The model momentum difference is 44.06 points in favour of Guarani Campinas. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.11%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Guarani Campinas 0 / Brusque 0 supports Guarani Campinas by an average 7.99 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Guarani Campinas at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.38 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.38 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 87.5%, 37.5%, 12.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 18 completed matches (94.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Brusque away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 3.40 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0% and 40.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 16 completed matches (81.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Guarani Campinas and Brusque ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.33 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Guarani Campinas at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.38 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.38 total cards per match. In this game, Guarani Campinas received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.38 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Brusque away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 3.4 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3.6 total cards per match. In this game, Brusque received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 0.4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 40%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Guarani Campinas at 0. The stored market movement was 7.99 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.