Match context

The upcoming match between South Adelaide Panthers and Modbury Jets is scheduled for 01.08.2026 05:30 in South Australia State League 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
South Adelaide Panthers are in position 12 with 12 points after 19 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 54 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL. Modbury Jets are in position 3 with 35 points after 19 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDD.

Recent results

South Adelaide Panthers recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLLLLDDW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Modbury Jets recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDDWDLLL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Adelaide Panthers recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Modbury Jets recorded 4 wins. The average total was 5.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Modbury Jets to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 13.78%, 18.86% and 67.36%. The model momentum difference is 53.58 points in favour of Modbury Jets. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.41%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair South Adelaide Panthers 0 / Modbury Jets 0 supports South Adelaide Panthers by an average 2.29 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.55). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

What happened in the match

The match between South Adelaide Panthers and Modbury Jets ended 2-3. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 5.6 goals, while this match produced 5. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported South Adelaide Panthers at 0. The stored market movement was 2.29 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-3, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.55. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.