Match context

The upcoming match between Ordabasy and FK Tobol Kostanay is scheduled for 02.08.2026 15:00 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ordabasy are in position 1 with 43 points after 19 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWW. FK Tobol Kostanay are in position 9 with 19 points after 19 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWL.

Recent results

Ordabasy recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLWWWWWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. FK Tobol Kostanay recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDDWLWLWD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and FK Tobol Kostanay recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ordabasy or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.78%, 21.35% and 18.88%. The model momentum difference is 40.90 points in favour of Ordabasy. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.95%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ordabasy -0.75 / FK Tobol Kostanay +0.75 supports Ordabasy by an average 8.55 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

4 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.78). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.23, score 84/100, 83.56% bucket win rate across 73 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 11.80, score 86/100, 86.14% group success rate across 101 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Ordabasy and FK Tobol Kostanay ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Ordabasy at -0.75. The stored market movement was 8.55 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.78. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.23. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 11.8. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.