Match context

The upcoming match between Irtysh and FK Tobol Kostanay is scheduled for 16.08.2026 12:00 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Irtysh are in position 15 with 17 points after 19 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDL. FK Tobol Kostanay are in position 11 with 22 points after 20 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWL.

Recent results

Irtysh recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLDLDLDD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. FK Tobol Kostanay recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDWDDWLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Irtysh recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and FK Tobol Kostanay recorded 6 wins. The average total was 1.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Irtysh 0 / FK Tobol Kostanay 0 supports Irtysh by an average 3.59 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90). At least one goal in the match (quota 11.80, score 86/100, 86.14% group success rate across 101 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Irtysh at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 20 completed matches (60.0% coverage). The discipline profile for FK Tobol Kostanay away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 40.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 20 completed matches (45.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Irtysh and FK Tobol Kostanay ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Irtysh at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Irtysh received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 3 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FK Tobol Kostanay away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.4 red cards and 2.4 total cards per match. In this game, FK Tobol Kostanay received 5 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 6 in total. That was 3.6 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 40%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Irtysh at 0. The stored market movement was 3.59 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 11.8. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.