Match context

The upcoming match between Ordabasy and Kyzyl-Zhar is scheduled for 29.08.2026 15:00 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ordabasy are in position 1 with 49 points after 20 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 36 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWL. Kyzyl-Zhar are in position 8 with 23 points after 20 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWDL.

Recent results

Ordabasy recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLWWLWW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Kyzyl-Zhar recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWWDLLLLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Kyzyl-Zhar recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ordabasy to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.67%, 21.29% and 17.03%. The model momentum difference is 44.64 points in favour of Ordabasy. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.57%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ordabasy -0.25 / Kyzyl-Zhar +0.25 supports Kyzyl-Zhar by an average 1.61 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 12.20, score 88/100, 87.50% group success rate across 16 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ordabasy at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 22 completed matches (63.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Kyzyl-Zhar away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 3.17 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 3.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 83.3%, 66.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 11 of 22 completed matches (50.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Ordabasy and Kyzyl-Zhar ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.2 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Kyzyl-Zhar at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.61 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 12.2. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.