Match context

The upcoming match between Guangxi Hengchen and Suzhou Dongwu is scheduled for 22.08.2026 11:30 in League One. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Guangxi Hengchen are in position 4 with 32 points after 16 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDW. Suzhou Dongwu are in position 14 with 15 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWDD.

Recent results

Guangxi Hengchen recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDWWWLDD. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Suzhou Dongwu recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWDDLDLLD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Guangxi Hengchen recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Suzhou Dongwu recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Guangxi Hengchen to win with 66% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.53%, 21.74% and 12.73%. The model momentum difference is 52.80 points in favour of Guangxi Hengchen. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.88%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Guangxi Hengchen at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.88 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 37.5%, 37.5%, 12.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 18 completed matches (88.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Suzhou Dongwu away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 19 completed matches (78.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Guangxi Hengchen and Suzhou Dongwu ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Guangxi Hengchen at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.88 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. In this game, Guangxi Hengchen received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.88 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Suzhou Dongwu away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. In this game, Suzhou Dongwu received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.57 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.