Match context

The upcoming match between Guangzhou E-Power and Changchun Yatai is scheduled for 30.08.2026 11:30 in League One. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Guangzhou E-Power are in position 1 with 46 points after 17 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDW. Changchun Yatai are in position 9 with 22 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDW.

Recent results

Guangzhou E-Power recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDWWWDWL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Changchun Yatai recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDWLWLWD. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou E-Power recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Changchun Yatai recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Guangzhou E-Power to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.82%, 20.64% and 15.54%. The model momentum difference is 48.28 points in favour of Guangzhou E-Power. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.65%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Guangzhou E-Power +0.25 / Changchun Yatai -0.25 supports Changchun Yatai by an average 1.66 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Guangzhou E-Power at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.90 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.90 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 30.0%, 10.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 20 completed matches (85.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Changchun Yatai away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.80 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 19 completed matches (63.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Guangzhou E-Power and Changchun Yatai ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Guangzhou E-Power at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.9 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.9 total cards per match. In this game, Guangzhou E-Power received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Changchun Yatai away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.8 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.8 total cards per match. In this game, Changchun Yatai received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Changchun Yatai at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.66 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.