Match context

The upcoming match between Changchun Yatai and Heilongjiang Lava Spring is scheduled for 12.09.2026 11:00 in League One. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Changchun Yatai are in position 9 with 22 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDW. Heilongjiang Lava Spring are in position 10 with 22 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWLD.

Recent results

Changchun Yatai recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLLDWLWL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Heilongjiang Lava Spring recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDWLDLDL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Heilongjiang Lava Spring recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 81/100, 80.67% bucket win rate across 569 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Changchun Yatai at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.86 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 28.6%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 13 of 21 completed matches (61.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Heilongjiang Lava Spring away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.13 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 25.0%, 12.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 17 of 22 completed matches (77.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Changchun Yatai and Heilongjiang Lava Spring ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Changchun Yatai at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.86 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Changchun Yatai received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Heilongjiang Lava Spring away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.13 total cards per match. In this game, Heilongjiang Lava Spring received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.13 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 12.5%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.