Match context

The upcoming match between South Hobart and Riverside is scheduled for 08.08.2026 04:00 in Tasmania NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
South Hobart are in position 1 with 41 points after 17 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 60 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWD. Riverside are in position 5 with 24 points after 17 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWLW.

Recent results

South Hobart recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLWDWWDW. The averages are 3.10 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Riverside recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWLWDLDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, South Hobart recorded 8 wins, there were 2 draws, and Riverside recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as South Hobart to win with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 83.46%, 9.35% and 7.19%. The model momentum difference is 76.27 points in favour of South Hobart. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.52%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair South Hobart 0 / Riverside 0 supports Riverside by an average 1.65 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between South Hobart and Riverside ended 5-2. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.1 goals, while this match produced 7. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Riverside at 0. The stored market movement was 1.65 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 5-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.