Match context

The upcoming match between Kingborough Lions and Clarence Zebras is scheduled for 08.08.2026 04:30 in Tasmania NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kingborough Lions are in position 2 with 37 points after 17 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 48 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWD. Clarence Zebras are in position 6 with 24 points after 17 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDDD.

Recent results

Kingborough Lions recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWLWDWWW. The averages are 2.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Clarence Zebras recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDDDLWLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kingborough Lions recorded 9 wins, there were 0 draws, and Clarence Zebras recorded 1 wins. The average total was 5.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kingborough Lions to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.31%, 16.92% and 17.77%. The model momentum difference is 47.55 points in favour of Kingborough Lions. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kingborough Lions 0 / Clarence Zebras 0 supports Clarence Zebras by an average 1.27 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 36, score 92/100, 92.11% group success rate across 38 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Kingborough Lions and Clarence Zebras ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 5.5 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Clarence Zebras at 0. The stored market movement was 1.27 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 36. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.