Match context

The upcoming match between Valmiera / BSS and Rīgas FS II is scheduled for 01.08.2026 11:00 in 1. Liga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Valmiera / BSS are in position 2 with 32 points after 14 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD. Rīgas FS II are in position 10 with 12 points after 14 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLW.

Recent results

Valmiera / BSS recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWWWWWDL. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Rīgas FS II recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLWWLLDL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Valmiera / BSS recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Rīgas FS II recorded 0 wins. The average total was 6 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Valmiera / BSS to win with 76% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 75.98%, 12.81% and 11.21%. The model momentum difference is 64.78 points in favour of Valmiera / BSS. The input data quality score is 93/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.34%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Valmiera / BSS 0 / Rīgas FS II 0 supports Valmiera / BSS by an average 1.60 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Valmiera / BSS and Rīgas FS II ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Valmiera / BSS at 0. The stored market movement was 1.6 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.