Match context

The upcoming match between Leevon / PPK and Rēzekne FA is scheduled for 01.08.2026 16:00 in 1. Liga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Leevon / PPK are in position 4 with 30 points after 14 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLD. Rēzekne FA are in position 14 with 5 points after 14 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLL.

Recent results

Leevon / PPK recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLLWDWWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Rēzekne FA recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLLWDLD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leevon / PPK recorded 5 wins, there were 0 draws, and Rēzekne FA recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Leevon / PPK to win with 74% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 74.47%, 12.77% and 12.77%. The model momentum difference is 61.70 points in favour of Leevon / PPK. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.64%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Leevon / PPK 0 / Rēzekne FA 0 supports Leevon / PPK by an average 1.57 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Leevon / PPK and Rēzekne FA ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 5 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Leevon / PPK at 0. The stored market movement was 1.57 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.