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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Valmiera / BSS 🟡 Draws Mārupe 🔴
Date Match Score
18.04.2026 Mārupe - Valmiera / BSS 2 : 3

🗓 Latest Matches: Valmiera / BSS

Date Match Score Res
08.08.2026 Smiltene - Valmiera / BSS 1 - 4 W
01.08.2026 Valmiera / BSS - Rīgas FS II 2 - 1 W
27.07.2026 Valmiera / BSS - Riga FC II 3 - 0 W
18.07.2026 Skanste - Valmiera / BSS 0 - 3 W
12.07.2026 Valmiera / BSS - Ogre United 2 - 4 L

📆 Latest Matches: Mārupe

Date Match Score Res
15.08.2026 Mārupe - Super Nova 2 2 - 1 W
08.08.2026 Mārupe - Leevon / PPK 0 - 1 L
01.08.2026 Skanste - Mārupe 4 - 2 L
25.07.2026 Rēzekne FA - Mārupe 1 - 2 W
18.07.2026 Mārupe - Metta / LU 0 - 4 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Valmiera / BSS and Mārupe is scheduled for 22.08.2026 12:00 in 1. Liga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Valmiera / BSS are in position 2 with 41 points after 15 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Mārupe are in position 7 with 22 points after 15 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLW.

Recent results

Valmiera / BSS recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLWWWWW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Mārupe recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWLLWLWL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Valmiera / BSS recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Mārupe recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Valmiera / BSS to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 75.45%, 14.49% and 10.06%. The model momentum difference is 65.39 points in favour of Valmiera / BSS. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 86/100, 85.68% group success rate across 426 observations).

Generated: 2026-08-22 10:30:04 · Locked: 2026-08-22 13:40:07

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Valmiera / BSS and Mārupe ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-22 15:54:07
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