Match context

The upcoming match between Sevastopol and Astrakhan is scheduled for 15.08.2026 14:00 in Second League - Group 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sevastopol are in position 1 with 36 points after 17 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWW. Astrakhan are in position 10 with 18 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLW.

Recent results

Sevastopol recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLWWWWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Astrakhan recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLLLWLWW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevastopol recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Astrakhan recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sevastopol to win with 74% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 73.86%, 18.69% and 7.45%. The model momentum difference is 66.42 points in favour of Sevastopol. The input data quality score is 85/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.24 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -8.41%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 77/100, 77.30% bucket win rate across 370 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Sevastopol and Astrakhan ended 3-4. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals, while this match produced 7. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.