Match context

The upcoming match between Izberbash and Pobeda is scheduled for 05.09.2026 13:00 in Second League - Group 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Izberbash are in position 12 with 18 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 0 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 44 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLW. Pobeda are in position 6 with 30 points after 16 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD.

Recent results

Izberbash recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLWWLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Pobeda recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLWWDWLW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Izberbash recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Pobeda recorded 1 wins. The average total was 7 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Pobeda to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 15.42%, 17.30% and 67.28%. The model momentum difference is 51.86 points in favour of Pobeda. The input data quality score is 87/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.35 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -9.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Izberbash 0 / Pobeda 0 supports Izberbash by an average 4.20 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Izberbash at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 21 completed matches (14.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Izberbash and Pobeda ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Izberbash at 0. The stored market movement was 4.2 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.