Match context

The upcoming match between Iskra Smolensk and Chertanovo Moscow is scheduled for 15.08.2026 11:00 in Second League - Group 2. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Iskra Smolensk are in position 15 with 11 points after 16 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL. Chertanovo Moscow are in position 5 with 29 points after 16 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDDD.

Recent results

Iskra Smolensk recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLLDDLL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Chertanovo Moscow recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDDDWWWLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Iskra Smolensk recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Chertanovo Moscow recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Chertanovo Moscow to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 10.64%, 19.48% and 69.88%. The model momentum difference is 59.23 points in favour of Chertanovo Moscow. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.31 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -8.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Iskra Smolensk and Chertanovo Moscow ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 4 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.