Match context

The upcoming match between Iskra Smolensk and Baltika II is scheduled for 29.08.2026 11:00 in Second League - Group 2. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Iskra Smolensk are in position 15 with 11 points after 16 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLL. Baltika II are in position 3 with 35 points after 16 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWW.

Recent results

Iskra Smolensk recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLDLLLDD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Baltika II recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDWLWLLW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Iskra Smolensk recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Baltika II recorded 1 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Baltika II to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 13.99%, 19.10% and 66.91%. The model momentum difference is 52.91 points in favour of Baltika II. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.37 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -8.34%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Baltika II away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 18 completed matches (16.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Iskra Smolensk and Baltika II ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Baltika II away from home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 0 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, Baltika II received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.