Match context

The upcoming match between Zenit Penza and FK Spartak Tambov is scheduled for 22.08.2026 13:00 in Second League - Group 3. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Zenit Penza are in position 13 with 14 points after 16 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLW. FK Spartak Tambov are in position 2 with 47 points after 17 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWW.

Recent results

Zenit Penza recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDWLWLLLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. FK Spartak Tambov recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLWWWLWWW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and FK Spartak Tambov recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.75 goals per match. Both teams scored in 37.5% of those matches, while 37.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FK Spartak Tambov to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 9.76%, 19.32% and 70.92%. The model momentum difference is 61.16 points in favour of FK Spartak Tambov. The input data quality score is 86/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -9.22%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.24, score 81/100, 80.58% bucket win rate across 103 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Zenit Penza and FK Spartak Tambov ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.75 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.24. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.