Match context

The upcoming match between Kvant and Ryazan is scheduled for 05.09.2026 12:00 in Second League - Group 3. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kvant are in position 16 with 6 points after 17 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDW. Ryazan are in position 7 with 31 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWL.

Recent results

Kvant recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLDWLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ryazan recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWDWWLL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kvant recorded 3 wins, there were 3 draws, and Ryazan recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ryazan to win with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 3.73%, 11.78% and 84.49%. The model momentum difference is 80.75 points in favour of Ryazan. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.06 with Marathonbet. The stored estimated EV is -10.45%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 2.60).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Kvant at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 21 completed matches (4.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Ryazan away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 20 completed matches (5.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Kvant and Ryazan ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kvant at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 0 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, Kvant received 0 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 1 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ryazan away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 0 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, Ryazan received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 2.6. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.