Match context

The upcoming match between Arsenal Tula II and Kvant is scheduled for 25.10.2026 11:00 in Second League - Group 3. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Arsenal Tula II are in position 15 with 14 points after 22 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 8 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 44 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDDD. Kvant are in position 16 with 6 points after 22 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 3 draws and 18 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 64 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

Arsenal Tula II recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDDLLDDD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Kvant recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLDLLLLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Tula II recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Kvant recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Arsenal Tula II or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.01%, 25.52% and 19.46%. The model momentum difference is 35.55 points in favour of Arsenal Tula II. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.15 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -7.38%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Arsenal Tula II 0 / Kvant 0 supports Arsenal Tula II by an average 4.73 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.21, score 81/100, 80.60% bucket win rate across 134 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Arsenal Tula II and Kvant ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Arsenal Tula II at 0. The stored market movement was 4.73 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.21. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.