Match context

The upcoming match between Belconnen United and Cooma Tigers FC is scheduled for 01.08.2026 05:00 in Capital Territory NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Belconnen United are in position 9 with 9 points after 16 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLW. Cooma Tigers FC are in position 3 with 35 points after 17 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 47 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLD.

Recent results

Belconnen United recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLWLLLDL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Cooma Tigers FC recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDWLDWWWW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Belconnen United recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and Cooma Tigers FC recorded 7 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Cooma Tigers FC (X2) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 18.27%, 22.01% and 59.71%. The model momentum difference is 41.44 points in favour of Cooma Tigers FC. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.15 with Betano. The stored estimated EV is -6.01%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Belconnen United and Cooma Tigers FC ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.