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🟢 Brindabella 🟡 Draws Tuggeranong United 🔴
Date Match Score
16.05.2026 Tuggeranong United - Brindabella 5 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: Brindabella

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25.07.2026 Brindabella - Canberra White Eagles 1 - 2 L
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04.07.2026 Monaro Panthers - Brindabella 9 - 0 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Brindabella and Tuggeranong United is scheduled for 08.08.2026 05:00 in Capital Territory NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Brindabella are in position 10 with 9 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 49 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. Tuggeranong United are in position 4 with 36 points after 18 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 41 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWW.

Recent results

Brindabella recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLLWLLL. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 3.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tuggeranong United recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWWWWLWL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Brindabella recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Tuggeranong United recorded 1 wins. The average total was 6 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Tuggeranong United to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 16.92%, 18.70% and 64.38%. The model momentum difference is 47.45 points in favour of Tuggeranong United. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.16%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Brindabella -0.75 / Tuggeranong United +0.75 supports Tuggeranong United by an average 2.25 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 20, score 88/100, 88.48% group success rate across 165 observations).

Generated: 2026-08-07 19:00:06 · Locked: 2026-08-08 06:40:03

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Brindabella and Tuggeranong United ended 0-6. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Tuggeranong United at +0.75. The stored market movement was 2.25 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-6, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 20. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-12 12:21:02
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