Match context

The upcoming match between Canberra FC and O'Connor Knights is scheduled for 08.08.2026 07:30 in Capital Territory NPL. The listed venue is Deakin Stadium, Canberra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Canberra FC are in position 1 with 43 points after 17 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 52 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWL. O'Connor Knights are in position 8 with 17 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLWL.

Recent results

Canberra FC recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLDWWWW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. O'Connor Knights recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLWLLLLWL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Canberra FC recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and O'Connor Knights recorded 4 wins. The average total was 4.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Canberra FC to win with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 82.60%, 10.28% and 7.12%. The model momentum difference is 75.49 points in favour of Canberra FC. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.48%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.82).

What happened in the match

The match between Canberra FC and O'Connor Knights ended 5-4. The game produced 9 goals in total. The first half contained 5 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.4 goals, while this match produced 9. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.