Match context

The upcoming match between Canberra Olympic and Brindabella is scheduled for 22.08.2026 04:30 in Capital Territory NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Canberra Olympic are in position 7 with 20 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 45 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDW. Brindabella are in position 10 with 9 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 49 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Canberra Olympic recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDWLLLLW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Brindabella recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLLLLWL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 3.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Canberra Olympic recorded 3 wins, there were 0 draws, and Brindabella recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Canberra Olympic to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.61%, 15.60% and 13.80%. The model momentum difference is 56.81 points in favour of Canberra Olympic. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.33%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 24, score 82/100, 82.35% group success rate across 17 observations). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.39).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Canberra Olympic at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.50 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 19 completed matches (21.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Brindabella away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 2.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 19 completed matches (10.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Canberra Olympic and Brindabella ended 5-4. The game produced 9 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 9. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Canberra Olympic at home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 0.5 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 1.5 total cards per match. In this game, Canberra Olympic received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Brindabella away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 2 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Brindabella received 0 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 24. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.39. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.