Match context

The upcoming match between Canberra FC and Belconnen United is scheduled for 22.08.2026 05:00 in Capital Territory NPL. The listed venue is Deakin Stadium, Canberra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Canberra FC are in position 1 with 49 points after 17 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 52 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Belconnen United are in position 9 with 9 points after 17 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDL.

Recent results

Canberra FC recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWLDWW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Belconnen United recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDLLLWLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Canberra FC recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Belconnen United recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Canberra FC to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 75.37%, 13.14% and 11.49%. The model momentum difference is 63.88 points in favour of Canberra FC. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.05%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 60, score 83/100, 82.76% group success rate across 29 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Canberra FC at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 19 completed matches (10.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Canberra FC and Belconnen United ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 60. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.