Match context

The upcoming match between Ilves II and Musa is scheduled for 04.08.2026 16:00 in Kakkonen - Lohko B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ilves II are in position 4 with 24 points after 14 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWDW. Musa are in position 9 with 9 points after 14 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLD.

Recent results

Ilves II recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDWWWDWW. The averages are 3.10 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Musa recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLDWDLLL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ilves II recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Musa recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 83.3% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ilves II to win with 79% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 78.80%, 12.72% and 8.48%. The model momentum difference is 70.32 points in favour of Ilves II. The input data quality score is 84/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.13 with Unibet. The stored estimated EV is -10.96%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Ilves II and Musa ended 7-0. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals, while this match produced 7. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 83.3%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.