Match context

The upcoming match between Honka and P-Iirot is scheduled for 15.08.2026 13:00 in Kakkonen - Lohko B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Honka are in position 1 with 37 points after 15 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDD. P-Iirot are in position 5 with 27 points after 15 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDL.

Recent results

Honka recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDDWWWLW. The averages are 3.20 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. P-Iirot recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDLWDLLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Honka recorded 2 wins, there were 0 draws, and P-Iirot recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4.67 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Honka to win with 72% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 71.74%, 16.30% and 11.96%. The model momentum difference is 59.78 points in favour of Honka. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.33%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Honka 0 / P-Iirot 0 supports Honka by an average 1.27 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.49).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Honka at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.80 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 20.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 16 completed matches (56.3% coverage). The discipline profile for P-Iirot away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.20 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 20.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 16 completed matches (56.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Honka and P-Iirot ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.67 goals, while this match produced 5. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Honka at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.8 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.8 total cards per match. In this game, Honka received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for P-Iirot away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.4 total cards per match. In this game, P-Iirot received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.4 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Honka at 0. The stored market movement was 1.27 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.49. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.