Match context

The upcoming match between HJS Akatemia and GrIFK is scheduled for 15.08.2026 14:00 in Kakkonen - Lohko B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
HJS Akatemia are in position 3 with 31 points after 15 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD. GrIFK are in position 7 with 18 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL.

Recent results

HJS Akatemia recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWDLWDLD. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. GrIFK recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLLWWDD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, HJS Akatemia recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and GrIFK recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as HJS Akatemia to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.03%, 19.99% and 17.99%. The model momentum difference is 44.04 points in favour of HJS Akatemia. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.06%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair HJS Akatemia -0.5 / GrIFK +0.5 supports GrIFK by an average 2.59 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.41). At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 86/100, 85.89% group success rate across 404 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for HJS Akatemia at home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 2.33 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 66.7%, 33.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 8 of 15 completed matches (53.3% coverage). The discipline profile for GrIFK away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.71 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 3.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 12 of 15 completed matches (80.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between HJS Akatemia and GrIFK ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for HJS Akatemia at home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 2.33 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, HJS Akatemia received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 33.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for GrIFK away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.71 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 3.14 total cards per match. In this game, GrIFK received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 0.86 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 28.6%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported GrIFK at +0.5. The stored market movement was 2.59 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.41. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.