Match context

The upcoming match between Thróttur Vogar and Magni is scheduled for 12.09.2026 14:00 in 2. Deild. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Thróttur Vogar are in position 11 with 20 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLW. Magni are in position 9 with 25 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDW.

Recent results

Thróttur Vogar recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLWLWLLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Magni recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDWLWWLW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Thróttur Vogar recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Magni recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Thróttur Vogar to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.17%, 18.89% and 17.94%. The model momentum difference is 45.23 points in favour of Thróttur Vogar. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.29%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Thróttur Vogar -1.5 / Magni +1.5 supports Thróttur Vogar by an average 4.76 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.31% group success rate across 490 observations). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.47).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Magni away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 20 completed matches (15.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Thróttur Vogar and Magni ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Thróttur Vogar at -1.5. The stored market movement was 4.76 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.47. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.