Match context

The upcoming match between Guabirá and Real Tomayapo is scheduled for 05.08.2026 00:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Guabirá are in position 9 with 15 points after 12 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWW. Real Tomayapo are in position 16 with 9 points after 12 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLWL.

Recent results

Guabirá recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWWDWLLL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Real Tomayapo recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWLLWLLD. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guabirá recorded 5 wins, there were 2 draws, and Real Tomayapo recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Guabirá to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 69.90%, 17.71% and 12.40%. The model momentum difference is 57.50 points in favour of Guabirá. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Guabirá +0.5 / Real Tomayapo -0.5 supports Guabirá by an average 1.20 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Guabirá and Real Tomayapo ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Guabirá at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.2 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.