Match context

The upcoming match between Aguai U20 and São Paulo U20 is scheduled for 07.08.2026 18:00 in Paulista - U20. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Aguai U20 are in position 15 with 0 points after 9 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LL. São Paulo U20 are in position 5 with 3 points after 8 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

Aguai U20 recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWDDWLLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. São Paulo U20 recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDWDWWWDL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as São Paulo U20 to win with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 7.07%, 12.26% and 80.67%. The model momentum difference is 73.59 points in favour of São Paulo U20. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Aguai U20 and São Paulo U20 ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.