Match context

The upcoming match between Itapirense U20 and Santos U20 is scheduled for 14.08.2026 20:15 in Paulista - U20. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Itapirense U20 are in position 12 with 0 points after 9 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is L. Santos U20 are in position 2 with 3 points after 9 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

Itapirense U20 recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWLLWLLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Santos U20 recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLWWLWWD. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Itapirense U20 recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Santos U20 recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Santos U20 to win with 72% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 11.29%, 16.43% and 72.28%. The model momentum difference is 60.99 points in favour of Santos U20. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.65%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Itapirense U20 and Santos U20 ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.