Match context

The upcoming match between Palmeiras U20 and XV de Jaú U20 is scheduled for 14.08.2026 18:00 in Paulista - U20. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Palmeiras U20 are in position 6 with 3 points after 8 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is W. XV de Jaú U20 are in position 8 with 3 points after 9 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WL.

Recent results

Palmeiras U20 recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLDDWDW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. XV de Jaú U20 recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLWLDWLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and XV de Jaú U20 recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Palmeiras U20 to win with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 80.19%, 12.19% and 7.62%. The model momentum difference is 72.57 points in favour of Palmeiras U20. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.58%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 19, score 82/100, 81.71% group success rate across 1312 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Palmeiras U20 and XV de Jaú U20 ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.