Match context

The upcoming match between América-SP U20 and Portuguesa U20 is scheduled for 29.08.2026 18:00 in Paulista - U20. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
América-SP U20 are in position 13 with 0 points after 9 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 5 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is L. Portuguesa U20 are in position 5 with 3 points after 9 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

América-SP U20 recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWLLWLLL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Portuguesa U20 recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWDWWLLDW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Portuguesa U20 to win with 69% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 11.85%, 18.71% and 69.44%. The model momentum difference is 57.59 points in favour of Portuguesa U20. The input data quality score is 85/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.12%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for América-SP U20 at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 11 completed matches (18.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between América-SP U20 and Portuguesa U20 ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for América-SP U20 at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 0 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, América-SP U20 received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.