Match context

The upcoming match between Água Santa U20 and Palmeiras U20 is scheduled for 08.09.2026 21:00 in Paulista - U20. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Água Santa U20 are in position 1 with 6 points after 10 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WW. Palmeiras U20 are in position 6 with 3 points after 8 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

Água Santa U20 recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLDWWDLD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Palmeiras U20 recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWWWWWLD. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Água Santa U20 recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Palmeiras U20 recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Palmeiras U20 to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 11.95%, 20.69% and 67.36%. The model momentum difference is 55.42 points in favour of Palmeiras U20. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.41%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Água Santa U20 at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 12 completed matches (16.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Palmeiras U20 away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 12 completed matches (25.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Água Santa U20 and Palmeiras U20 ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.