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🟢 Novorizontino U20 🟡 Draws Aguai U20 🔴
Date Match Score
16.05.2025 Aguai U20 - Novorizontino U20 0 : 3

🗓 Latest Matches: Novorizontino U20

Date Match Score Res
04.09.2026 SC Paulinense SP U20 - Novorizontino U20 1 - 4 W
22.08.2026 Novorizontino U20 - Oeste U20 2 - 1 W
14.08.2026 Botafogo SP U20 - Novorizontino U20 2 - 1 L
11.08.2026 Novorizontino U20 - São Paulo U20 2 - 1 W
06.08.2026 São Caetano U20 - Novorizontino U20 0 - 3 W

📆 Latest Matches: Aguai U20

Date Match Score Res
04.09.2026 Aguai U20 - Santo André U20 0 - 0 D
14.08.2026 São Caetano U20 - Aguai U20 3 - 0 L
11.08.2026 Aguai U20 - EC São Bernardo U20 0 - 4 L
07.08.2026 Aguai U20 - São Paulo U20 0 - 3 L
31.07.2026 Desportivo Brasil U20 - Aguai U20 7 - 1 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Novorizontino U20 and Aguai U20 is scheduled for 12.09.2026 18:00 in Paulista - U20. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Novorizontino U20 are in position 11 with 1 points after 9 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is LD. Aguai U20 are in position 15 with 0 points after 10 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is LL.

Recent results

Novorizontino U20 recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWWWDDWD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Aguai U20 recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLWDDW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino U20 recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Aguai U20 recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Novorizontino U20 to win with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 80.67%, 11.19% and 8.14%. The model momentum difference is 72.53 points in favour of Novorizontino U20. The input data quality score is 86/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 19, score 82/100, 81.70% group success rate across 1579 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Novorizontino U20 at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 13 completed matches (23.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Aguai U20 away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 12 completed matches (16.7% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-12 18:02:12 · Locked: 2026-09-12 19:40:20

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Novorizontino U20 and Aguai U20 ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-12 22:00:24
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