Match context

The upcoming match between Palmeiras U20 and Sfera U20 is scheduled for 12.09.2026 18:00 in Paulista - U20. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Palmeiras U20 are in position 6 with 3 points after 8 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is W. Sfera U20 are in position 14 with 0 points after 10 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is LL.

Recent results

Palmeiras U20 recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWWWWWL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sfera U20 recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWWLWWLW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Palmeiras U20 to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 69.96%, 18.85% and 11.19%. The model momentum difference is 58.76 points in favour of Palmeiras U20. The input data quality score is 86/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Palmeiras U20 at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 13 completed matches (23.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Sfera U20 away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 2.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 13 completed matches (7.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Palmeiras U20 and Sfera U20 ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 4 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.