Match context

The upcoming match between Kauno Žalgiris and TransINVEST Vilnius is scheduled for 16.08.2026 15:45 in A Lyga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kauno Žalgiris are in position 1 with 37 points after 22 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDW. TransINVEST Vilnius are in position 4 with 35 points after 24 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLD.

Recent results

Kauno Žalgiris recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWDWWWDD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. TransINVEST Vilnius recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLLDWDLW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris recorded 5 wins, there were 0 draws, and TransINVEST Vilnius recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.86 goals per match. Both teams scored in 57.1% of those matches, while 71.4% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kauno Žalgiris to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.54%, 22.40% and 17.07%. The model momentum difference is 43.47 points in favour of Kauno Žalgiris. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.41%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kauno Žalgiris 0 / TransINVEST Vilnius 0 supports Kauno Žalgiris by an average 3.58 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Kauno Žalgiris at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 40.0%, 40.0% and 40.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 23 completed matches (43.5% coverage). The discipline profile for TransINVEST Vilnius away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.29 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 42.9%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 25 completed matches (56.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Kauno Žalgiris and TransINVEST Vilnius ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.86 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 71.4%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kauno Žalgiris at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.6 yellow cards, 0.4 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Kauno Žalgiris received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 40%, and a red card in 40%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for TransINVEST Vilnius away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.29 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.29 total cards per match. In this game, TransINVEST Vilnius received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.71 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Kauno Žalgiris at 0. The stored market movement was 3.58 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.